EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
2 - 1
Norwich

Vinicius (12'), Iwobi (72')
Muniz (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sainz (75')
McCallum (16'), Placheta (45'), Warner (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Fulham and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fulham 3-1 Norwich City

Each team will probably make changes for this contest, throwing open the possibility of any result occurring at Craven Cottage. However, we can only back the home side, who have players in their squad who will want to impress in games such as this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Norwich City
33.86% ( 0.1)	24.14% ( 0.11)	42% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

-0.5)

42.1% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

-0.5)

64.5% (

0.51)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

-0.18)

24.36% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

-0.25)

58.77% (

0.26)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.3)

20.24% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.49)

52.57% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Fulham 33.86%

Norwich City 42%

Draw 24.14%

Fulham	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42%