Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Leeds United

It is hard to look past this Ipswich Town side at present, particularly on home turf, given the momentum they hold under Kieran McKenna, and while Leeds do still possess plenty of quality and will travel desperate for a result, we back the Tractor Boys to make it four wins on the bounce on their return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Leeds United
58.85% ( 1.49)	21.18% ( -0.02)	19.97% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32% (

-1.97)

39.68% (

1.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

-2.07)

62.03% (

2.07)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

-0.2)

13.2% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07% (

-0.4)

39.93% (

0.39)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-2.52)

33.44% (

2.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

-2.85)

70.07% (

2.85)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 58.85%

Leeds United 19.97%

Draw 21.18%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18%	1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97%