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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Leicester City |
36.69% ( 0.93) | 23.88% ( 0.25) | 39.43% ( -1.18) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% ( -1.09) | 40.32% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% ( -1.13) | 62.7% ( 1.13) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( -0.02) | 22.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( -0.02) | 55.33% ( 0.02) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( -1.01) | 20.66% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( -1.61) | 53.25% ( 1.61) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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