Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Birmingham City
48.05% ( 0.42)	25.09% ( 0.15)	26.85% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

-1.03)

49.7% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28% (

-0.93)

71.72% (

0.93)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

-0.24)

20.71% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.68% (

-0.38)

53.31% (

0.38)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

-0.99)

32.91% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

-1.12)

69.48% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 48.05%

Birmingham City 26.85%

Draw 25.09%

Swansea City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.05%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.85%