Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
44.7% ( 0.15) | 22.6% ( -0.02) | 32.7% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 65.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.01% ( 0.04) | 34.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.03% ( 0.04) | 56.97% ( -0.04) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.07) | 16.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( 0.13) | 45.75% ( -0.13) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.05) | 21.65% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.09) | 54.77% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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