MX23RW : Monday, May 20 01:21:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 4, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 2
Gimnasia

Ortiz (36'), Montenegro (57')
Heinze (16'), Giani (80'), Eduardo Recalde (90+2'), Portillo (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dominguez (11'), Tarragona (25')
Sanchez (15'), Miramon (45+1'), Durso (66'), Tarragona (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia

What happened near the tail end of their Sudamericana clash on Wednesday is an indication of just how frustrating times have been for Gimnasia of late, and we have a hard time seeing them pull it all together just a few days later against the well-drilled and compact defensive unit that is Newell's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.52%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawGimnasia
55.55% (-0.39 -0.39) 27.23% (0.198 0.2) 17.22% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 36.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.43% (-0.353 -0.35)65.57% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.71% (-0.246 -0.25)84.29% (0.242 0.24)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)24.15% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.47 -0.47)58.46% (0.465 0.47)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)51.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.08% (0.022 0.02)85.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 55.54%
    Gimnasia 17.22%
    Draw 27.22%
Newell's Old BoysDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 17.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 55.54%
0-0 @ 12.52% (0.16 0.16)
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.22%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Gimnasia

Newell's Old Boys
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Gimnasia
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 18
Newell's OB
2-0
Gimnasia
Piris (30' og.), Reasco (41')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
Gimnasia
3-1
Newell's OB
Ramirez (17'), Sosa (48', 54')
Tarragona (60'), Rey (61'), Insaurralde (71')
Gerometta (80')
Perez (2')
Fernandez (32'), Lema (35'), Castro (41'), Luciano (46'), Arboleda (60'), Cingolani (72'), Mendez (89')
Perez (59')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Newell's OB
Carbonero (42')
Miguel Rodriguez (29'), Aleman (79'), Fratta (90+5')

Negri (68'), Lema (83')
Apr 26, 2021 10pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
2-1
Newell's OB
Carbonero (54'), Perez Garcia (68')
Cesar Cingolani (71')
Ramirez (32'), Sforza (37'), Llano (75'), Cabral (80'), Scocco (85')
Oct 29, 2019 10.10pm
Gameweek 11
Newell's OB
0-4
Gimnasia

Gabrielli (5'), Formica (73'), Leal (83')
Contin (40'), Caire (50'), Tijanovich (51'), Garcia (57')
Guiffrey (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22006066
2TalleresTalleres22005146
3HuracanHuracan21104224
4GimnasiaGimnasia21104224
5Independiente Rivadavia21102024
6Instituto21103214
7Barracas Central21102114
8UnionUnion21102114
9Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB11002023
10Boca Juniors21014313
11Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs11003213
12Deportivo Riestra11001013
13EstudiantesEstudiantes11001013
14Atletico TucumanTucuman210112-13
15Racing ClubRacing10104401
16Sarmiento201123-11
17BanfieldBanfield201112-11
18Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
19Defensa y JusticiaDefensa201124-21
20IndependienteIndependiente201113-21
21Platense201102-21
22BelgranoBelgrano201147-31
23Rosario CentralRosario100123-10
24TigreTigre100101-10
25San Lorenzo100101-10
26Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield100113-20
27LanusLanus100102-20
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba200227-50
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!