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Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Botafogo logo

Santos
2 - 0
Botafogo

Baptistao (33'), Leonardo (77')
Zanocelo (21'), Jonatan (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marcal (20'), Saravia (45'), Castro (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 2-1 Botafogo

 Although only one point separates them in the league, Santos have won three of their last four meetings with Botafogo, and we think they will clinch another victory over them on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawBotafogo
54.94% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26) 25.21% (0.101 0.1) 19.85% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (-0.176 -0.18)56.42% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (-0.141 -0.14)77.43% (0.14 0.14)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.176 -0.18)20.54% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.279 -0.28)53.06% (0.277 0.28)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.77% (0.076000000000001 0.08)43.23% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51% (0.064 0.06)79.48% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Santos 54.93%
    Botafogo 19.85%
    Draw 25.2%
SantosDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 14.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.85%

How you voted: Santos vs Botafogo

Santos
72.7%
Draw
22.7%
Botafogo
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2021 7pm
Santos
2-1
Botafogo
Soteldo (4'), Bruninho (83')
Solda (30'), Soteldo (33')
Raul (45+2' pen.)
Kevin (30')
Sep 20, 2020 10.15pm
Botafogo
0-0
Santos

Costanza (10'), Fernandez Torres (40'), Alexandre (43'), Araujo (65')

Sanchez (11'), Verissimo (90+3')
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Santos
4-1
Botafogo
Sasha (3'), Marinho (13'), Soteldo (68', 69')
Marinho (85')
Cassio (34')
Jul 21, 2019 3pm
Botafogo
0-1
Santos

Gilson (10'), Carli (51')
Gilson (69')
Marinho (75')
Henrique (12'), Verissimo (18'), Marinho (77')
Verissimo (49')
Nov 21, 2018 11pm
Santos
1-1
Botafogo
Rodrygo (36')
Barbosa (67'), Felipe (88')
Brenner (59')
Marcinho (25'), Fernandes (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100
> Brasileiro Full Table


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