A closely-fought contest between two teams desperate to end their poor runs of form is set to take place on Friday, but we believe that Goias will pile more misery on Vasco da Gama and claim their first away victory of the season to potentially move out of the drop zone.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Goias in this match.
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