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SV Darmstadt
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Wolfsburg

Facing Bayern off the back of six straight defeats is far from ideal for Wolfsburg, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions, who should have too much in the final third despite their absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.74%11.05%6.21%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.39%25.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.27%45.74%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.49%4.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.51%18.49%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48%81.52%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.73%
    Wolfsburg 6.21%
    Draw 11.05%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.24%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 8.01%
4-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 7.75%
1-0 @ 6.4%
4-1 @ 6.21%
5-0 @ 4.93%
5-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 2.43%
6-1 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.51%
7-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 82.73%
1-1 @ 5%
2-2 @ 3.03%
0-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.05%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.21%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
90.8%
Draw
3.3%
Wolfsburg
5.9%
152
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Mar 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
6-0
Wolfsburg
Gnabry (34'), Lewandowski (37', 85'), Rodriguez (52'), Muller (76'), Kimmich (82')

Rexhbecaj (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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