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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Gosens (9'), Tousart (37')
Gosens (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wirtz (45+8' pen.)
Adli (64'), Andrich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen

It is difficult to back against a relentless Leverkusen outfit that will want to wrap up the title at the earliest opportunity so that they can shift their focus to both the Europa League and DFB-Pokal in the latter stages of the campaign. Union Berlin have largely impressed on home soil in recent months and have not lost any of their last three meetings with Leverkusen in front of their own fans, but celebrating success against the in-form league leaders may be a step too far this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
20.49%22.93%56.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 52.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99%37.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2%73.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.92%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 20.49%
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.58%
    Draw 22.92%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-1 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.62%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.49%
1-1 @ 10.88%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 10.95%
0-2 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.96%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-5 @ 0.99%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.58%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
9.7%
Draw
13.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
76.4%
72
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Union Berlin
Grimaldo (23'), Odilon (57'), Tah (73'), Tella (83')

Ronnow (74')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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