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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Agu (14'), Ducksch (45+5'), Alvero (72'), Hansen-Aaroen (89')
Jung (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lacroix (45+4'), Majer (84')
Baku (51'), Bornauw (70'), Zesiger (80'), Paredes (90+2')
Lacroix (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Wolfsburg

Having scored in all of their previous 13 matches and now facing a side with no clean sheet in 11 games, it is no surprise Bremen will come into this one as favourites. However, under new management, Wolfsburg will hope to turn a corner, and a fresh start under Hasenhuttl may end their recent rut, even if it does not start with an instant win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
39.81% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 23.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 36.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.023999999999994 0.02)62.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.045000000000002 0.05)20.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (0.069000000000003 0.07)53.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)55.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 39.81%
    Wolfsburg 36.31%
    Draw 23.88%
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.81%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.31%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
34.1%
Draw
45.5%
Wolfsburg
20.5%
44
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Werder Bremen
Cerny (37'), Paredes (59')
Lacroix (5'), Paredes (66'), Wind (80')
Lacroix (88')
Ducksch (7'), Borre (65')
Bittencourt (63')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Werder Bremen
2-1
Wolfsburg
Fullkrug (24' pen., 77')
Paredes (90')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Werder Bremen
1-2
Wolfsburg
Mohwald (45')
Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
Schlager (81')
Nov 27, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
5-3
Werder Bremen
Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')
Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
Mohwald (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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