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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg's league form dropped off a cliff prior to the international break, so Kovac will be hoping that the timing of it has worked in his side's favour. They will take some confidence from beating Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal last month. However, Die Roten Bullen have become a consistent outfit under Rose, with Openda only one goal from moving into double figures in the Bundesliga. We expect the visitors to have a little bit too much firepower in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.97%54.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 23.72%
    RB Leipzig 54.31%
    Draw 21.97%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 23.72%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.31%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
RB Leipzig
69.2%
39
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Roussillon (52')
Steffen (35'), Schlager (65'), Guilavogui (70'), Roussillon (89')

Gvardiol (26'), Adams (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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