Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 3-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
42.5% | 20.8% | 36.7% |
Both teams to score 74.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.42% | 24.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.64% | 44.36% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.11% | 12.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.71% | 39.29% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% | 14.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.61% | 43.39% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 42.5%
Sporting Lisbon 36.7%
Draw 20.8%
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 4.05% 1-0 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 2.56% 4-3 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.38% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.16% 0-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 2-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-1 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 2.14% 3-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.21% Total : 36.7% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon
Borussia Dortmund
85.8%Draw
8.9%Sporting Lisbon
5.3%246
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-24 11:00:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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