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Champions League
Malmo
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
0 - 2
Zalgiris


Christiansen (38'), Toivonen (83'), Larsson (90+4')
Christiansen (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oyewusi (34'), Oliveira (52')
Gorobsov (26'), Bopesu (29'), Milickovic (32'), Ourega (65'), Kyeremeh (72'), Jarusevicius (77'), Ljubisavljevic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 3-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

FK Zalgiris

Last Six:
    Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
    Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

    We said: Malmo 2-0 FK Zalgiris (Malmo to win 2-1 on aggregate)

     Malmo suffered a surprise defeat against Zalgiris last week, with the first-leg loss the only game in their last 10 across all competitions in which they have failed to score. Even though the visitors are in fine form, the hosts will be the firm favourites to win on Wednesday and they should have enough quality in their side to turn the tie around and book their place in the next round. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.34%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

    Result
    MalmoDrawFK Zalgiris
    51.15% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 24.34% (0.116 0.12)
    Both teams to score 52.67% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.73% (0.011000000000003 0.01)49.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
    Malmo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.74% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)19.26% (0.052 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    49.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)50.99% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
    FK Zalgiris Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.24% (0.105 0.11)34.76% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    28.51% (0.112 0.11)71.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
    Score Analysis
        Malmo 51.14%
        FK Zalgiris 24.34%
        Draw 24.51%
    MalmoDrawFK Zalgiris
    1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
    2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
    3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 3.03%
    Total : 51.14%
    		1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    2-2 @ 5.07% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
    3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
    Other @ 0.11%
    Total : 24.51%
    		0-1 @ 7.08% (0.018 0.02)
    1-2 @ 6.16% (0.023 0.02)
    0-2 @ 3.74% (0.02 0.02)
    1-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
    Other @ 2.1%
    Total : 24.34%

    How you voted: Malmo vs Zalgiris

    Malmo
    71.2%
    Draw
    16.7%
    FK Zalgiris
    12.1%
    66
    Head to Head
    Jul 19, 2022 5pm
    Zalgiris
    1-0
    Malmo
    Ourega (49')
    Ljubisavljevic (87')

    Moisander (84')
    rhs 2.0
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