Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
El Nacional2 - 2Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between El Nacional and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
51.56% ( 1.33) | 25.67% ( -0.27) | 22.77% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
