La Banda can beat you in a variety of ways, and as good as Colo-Colo are when it comes to controlling the pace of a game, we do not expect them to be effective against the Argentines, who are as good on the ball as any club in South America.
If River Plate have the ball for long stretches as we anticipate, Los Albos could struggle to keep up with the speed and skill that Gallardo can depend on to get the job done.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
0.52) 
-0.58) 
