MX23RW : Monday, May 20 16:12:37| >> :60:145:145:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
LDU Quito

Arboleda (77')
Araujo (90')
FT
(aet)

Quinonez (24'), Ibarra (81'), Ade (90+1'), Guerrero (92')
Alvarado (48')
LDU Quito win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

LDU Quito

All competitions
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (Sao Paulo advances on penalties)

 They have done it before and there is no reason to suggest that Sao Paulo cannot turn the tables in their favour once again come Thursday. While we expect a close match, we also believe that as the pressure begins to mount the experience of the Brazilians in these situations will give them a psychological edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.55%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawLDU Quito
57.21% (-0.651 -0.65) 23.74% (0.234 0.23) 19.05% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 47.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-0.355 -0.36)51.95% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (-0.31 -0.31)73.69% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.369 -0.37)17.96% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.633 -0.63)48.79% (0.632 0.63)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.265 0.27)41.54% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (0.235 0.23)78.03% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 57.19%
    LDU Quito 19.05%
    Draw 23.74%
Sao PauloDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.19%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.05%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito

Sao Paulo
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
LDU Quito
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
LDU Quito
2-1
Sao Paulo
Julio (2'), Ibarra (25')
Gonzalez (85')
Moura (80')
Rafinha (12'), Beraldo (45+1'), Luan (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
4-2
Sao Paulo
Julio (36', 45+1'), Arce (76')
Zunino (33'), Piovi (37')
Brenner (60')
Nestor (90')
Mar 12, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Sao Paulo
3-0
LDU Quito
Reinaldo (14' pen.), Alves (15'), Gomes (61')
Reinaldo (26'), Juanfran (45'), Pablo (90')

Quinteros (26'), Guerra (37'), Ayala (41'), Valencia (76')
Sornoza (67')
rhs 2.0
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