MX23RW : Monday, May 6 13:12:35| >> :600:2477725:2477725:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
Home Park
Charlton Athletic

Plymouth
3 - 2
Charlton

Cosgrove (13'), Ennis (15'), Roberts (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kanu (8'), Anderson (90+2')
Henry (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Plymouth Argyle and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton Athletic are the more in-form side coming into this one, but Plymouth's recent record on home turf is simply too good to overlook. We anticipate a fairly even contest with the home team narrowly emerging victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCharlton Athletic
46.73% (-0.496 -0.5) 25.03% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 28.23% (0.428 0.43)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.56% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.68% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)20.81% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-0.343 -0.34)53.48% (0.34 0.34)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (0.31700000000001 0.32)31.25% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (0.367 0.37)67.6% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.23%
    Draw 25.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Charlton

Plymouth Argyle
57.1%
Charlton Athletic
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
5-1
Plymouth
Rak-Sakyi (11'), Stockley (41' pen.), Clare (45+3'), Kirk (76'), Leaburn (84')
Whittaker (71')
Wilson (39')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Plymouth
0-6
Charlton

Watts (26')
Forster-Caskey (26'), Stockley (45'), Watts (47' og.), Gilbey (49'), Millar (56'), Aneke (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Charlton
2-2
Plymouth
Gunter (32'), Maddison (67')
Aneke (57')
Jephcott (6', 36')
Aimson (52'), Macleod (69'), Edwards (70')
rhs 2.0
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