Port Vale1 - 0Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Port Vale 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra took a little while to light the blue touch paper at the weekend, but the Railwaymen were indomitable once they got going and will not panic should they fall a goal down at Vale Park. However, the League Two side have already been stunted in this fixture once this season - a regular occurrence nowadays - and we still expect Crosby's in-form troops to continue their hot streak with a comprehensive opening win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
51.47% ( 0.5) | 24.47% ( -0.29) | 24.06% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
