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Aalesund
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 4pm UK
Color Line Stadion

Aalesund
2 - 3
Tromso

FT(HT: 1-1)
Erlien (40', 54'), Vesterlund (73')
Psyche (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Aalesund and Tromso IL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aalesund 1-3 Brann
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Aalesund 0-2 Tromso IL

Aalesund are certainly better than they have shown in the early stages of the season, but it is difficult to back them to pick up a result against an in-form Tromso outfit. The visitors have been very impressive in recent weeks and should have too much quality for their opponents in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
AalesundDrawTromso IL
20.41% (-5.701 -5.7) 25.07% (-0.314 -0.31) 54.51% (6.018 6.02)
Both teams to score 46.26% (-5.424 -5.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (-3.915 -3.92)55.31% (3.919 3.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-3.315 -3.32)76.53% (3.318 3.32)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-7.567 -7.57)41.97% (7.571 7.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59% (-7.297 -7.3)78.41% (7.301 7.3)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.931 0.93)20.28% (-0.928 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (1.463 1.46)52.63% (-1.46 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Aalesund 20.41%
    Tromso IL 54.51%
    Draw 25.07%
AalesundDrawTromso IL
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-1.323 -1.32)
2-0 @ 3.21% (-0.946 -0.95)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.595 -0.6)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.549 -0.55)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.41%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 8.51% (1.215 1.22)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.912 -0.91)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 13.58% (2.27 2.27)
0-2 @ 10.83% (2.057 2.06)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.76% (1.227 1.23)
1-3 @ 5% (0.163 0.16)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.54 0.54)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-4 @ 2% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 54.51%

How you voted: Aalesund vs Tromso

Aalesund
10.3%
Draw
17.2%
Tromso IL
72.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 4pm
gameweek 30
Tromso
2-2
Aalesund
Kamanzi (12'), Mikkelsen (85')
Kallevag (20'), Ebiye (35')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 3
Aalesund
2-2
Tromso
Haugen (18', 69')
Oyvann (51'), Gundersen (90+5')
Oyvann (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt65101321116
2SK BrannBrann7421115614
3MoldeMolde7412127513
4Fredrikstad632185311
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset631278-110
6Viking FKViking FK62318719
7KFUM OsloKFUM62316519
8KristiansundKristiansund62318809
9RosenborgRosenborg630378-19
10Odd7223912-38
11Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg62136607
12Lillestrom6213610-47
13FK HaugesundHaugesund620459-46
14SandefjordSandefjord511357-24
15HamKam703437-43
16Tromso ILTromso5005311-80


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