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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 4
Nijmegen

van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 NEC

There is little to play for heading into this weekend's contest, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless, with the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
30.09% (1.473 1.47) 24.36% (0.584 0.58) 45.55% (-2.051 -2.05)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-1.8 -1.8)44.58% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-1.764 -1.76)66.95% (1.769 1.77)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.097999999999999 0.1)27.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.122 0.12)63.53% (-0.117 -0.12)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-1.551 -1.55)19.71% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-2.589 -2.59)51.71% (2.594 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 30.09%
    NEC 45.55%
    Draw 24.36%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.417 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.55%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
25.5%
Draw
38.2%
NEC
36.4%
55
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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