MX23RW : Monday, May 20 14:15:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
3 - 1
Sittard

de Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yilmaz (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

On the back of holding PSV, Sittard will have every confidence that they can do the same with AZ. However, sense an opportunity to capitalise on Feyenoord and Ajax playing each other this weekend, we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
69.55% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 18% (0.221 0.22) 12.45% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-1.323 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-1.472 -1.47)39.71% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-1.547 -1.55)62.07% (1.548 1.55)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (-0.41 -0.41)10.31% (0.4101 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.27% (-0.94099999999999 -0.94)33.73% (0.942 0.94)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (-1.209 -1.21)42.89% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-1.038 -1.04)79.2% (1.04 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.54%
    Fortuna Sittard 12.45%
    Draw 18%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.54%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.155 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
Apr 25, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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