Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
