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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
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NEC
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Waalwijk logo
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marques (80')
Marquez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Verschueren (58')
Eerdhuijzen (56'), Kitolano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have been extremely frugal at the defensive end of the pitch recently, but we expect NEC to get on the scoresheet here. We can also see the teams nullifying the threat of each other en route to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
37.6% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64) 25.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 36.62% (0.681 0.68)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.22000000000001 0.22)49.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (0.199 0.2)71.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.249 -0.25)25.54% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (-0.341 -0.34)60.41% (0.342 0.34)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.498 0.5)26.1% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.661 0.66)61.15% (-0.66 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    NEC 37.6%
    Sparta Rotterdam 36.62%
    Draw 25.77%
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sparta

NEC
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')

Elkarouani (25')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
Nijmegen
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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