MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 04:55:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Gaari (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
Eijgenraam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
44.16% (0.156 0.16) 23.72% (-0.3 -0.3) 32.12% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.142 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (1.47 1.47)40.67% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (1.492 1.49)63.05% (-1.491 -1.49)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.663 0.66)18.71% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (1.099 1.1)50.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.798 0.8)24.7% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (1.104 1.1)59.23% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 44.16%
    SBV Excelsior 32.12%
    Draw 23.72%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.12%

Head to Head
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!