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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
26.66% ( 0.11) | 23.35% ( 0.06) | 49.99% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% ( -0.19) | 42.22% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% ( -0.19) | 64.63% ( 0.19) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.01) | 29.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -0.02) | 65.05% ( 0.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% ( -0.14) | 17.02% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.83% ( -0.24) | 47.16% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.66% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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