Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion GKS-u
FT(HT: 2-0)
Manzorro (13'), Darabaev (29'), Kusyapov (48'),
Dosmagambetov (69'), Beskorovainyi (90+3')
Darabaev (62')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Astana.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Last Game: Gent 3-0 RakowThursday, August 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Astana 3-4 KuPSThursday, August 12 at 2pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
Result |
Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Astana |
53.63% ( 0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.04) |
51.31% ( -0.04) | 48.69% ( 0.04) |
29.2% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.04) |
81.92% ( -0.01) | 18.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% ( -0.02) | 49% ( 0.02) |
63.84% ( -0.03) | 36.16% ( 0.03) |