FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
We said: Burton Albion 3-0 Needham Market
The FA Cup is a competition known for its cup upsets, and underdogs often thrive in these games, which will give the visitors some hope.
However, even though Needham Market have been defensively resilient, it is Burton Albion who are the strong favourites to progress here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Needham Market win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Needham Market |
61.61% ( -0.19) | 19.8% ( 0) | 18.59% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( 0.36) |
| 64.71% ( 0.3) | 35.29% ( -0.3) |
| 42.69% ( 0.33) | 57.32% ( -0.34) |
| 88.93% ( 0.04) | 11.07% ( -0.04) |
