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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Sunderland

Fulham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cairney (61')
Wilson (45+4'), Kurzawa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (6')
Alese (43'), Batth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 2-0 Sunderland

A Sunderland side with a taste for goals undoubtedly possess the tools to hurt Fulham, but the hosts are rarely overwhelmed defensively and have far fewer injury concerns to worry about here. Even if things do go pear-shaped, Silva is blessed with several high-quality options off the bench, and we can only picture the Cottagers marching onto the fifth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawSunderland
41.88% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 33.39% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.137 -0.14)44.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.133 -0.13)67.31% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.227 -0.23)21.5% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.349 -0.35)54.55% (0.348 0.35)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.12 0.12)26% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.162 0.16)61.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 41.88%
    Sunderland 33.39%
    Draw 24.72%
FulhamDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Fulham vs Sunderland

Fulham
78.9%
Draw
7.0%
Sunderland
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-1
Sunderland
Piazon (45'), Mitrovic (76')
Bettinelli (90'), Kamara (96')
Asoro (28')
O'Shea (45'), Fletcher (61'), Steele (62'), McManaman (90')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Feb 3, 2015 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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