MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 14:44:30| >> :600:27132723:27132723:
Cuba national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium

Cuba
1 - 4
Guadeloupe

Hernandez (62' pen.)
Cavafe (62'), Hernandez (90')
Ruiz (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Phaeton (13', 43'), Plumain (41'), Baron (50')
Lina (62'), Alphonse (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Cuba and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 1-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Cuba 1-2 Guadeloupe

 While they were struggling to keep up in the second half, Guadeloupe held a solid backline and did well to cut off the danger areas against Canada. We believe Les Gwada Boys will carry much more momentum into this match when compared to Cuba, who looked like a team that was holding on and depending a little too heavily on their goalkeeper to bail them out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Cuba had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Cuba win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
CubaDrawGuadeloupe
25.86% (-1.129 -1.13) 25.62% (0.121 0.12) 48.51% (1.008 1.01)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-1.298 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-1.248 -1.25)52.52% (1.249 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (-1.082 -1.08)74.18% (1.081 1.08)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-1.594 -1.59)35.22% (1.594 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-1.701 -1.7)71.97% (1.701 1.7)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)21.66% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)54.79% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 25.86%
    Guadeloupe 48.51%
    Draw 25.61%
CubaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.93% (0.395 0.4)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.192 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.51%

How you voted: Cuba vs Guadeloupe

Cuba
35.2%
Draw
20.4%
Guadeloupe
44.4%
54
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 9pm
League B
Cuba
1-0
Guadeloupe
Matos (45+2')
Jun 3, 2022 1am
League B
Guadeloupe
2-1
Cuba
G (15'), Ambrose (90')
Ambrose (47'), M (77')
Reyes (74')
Piedra (45'), Cavafe (51'), Paradela (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!