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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Matsuda (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Honda (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 2 at 11.30am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
43.18% (-0.14 -0.14) 25.63% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.19% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)49.67% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (0.037000000000003 0.04)71.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.9% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.66% (0.073 0.07)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.11499999999999 0.11)29.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.138 0.14)65.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 43.18%
    Sagan Tosu 31.19%
    Draw 25.63%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.19%

Head to Head
May 3, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
Jul 26, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Ishii (51')
Dudu (63')
Sakamoto (75')
Fujita (64'), Koike (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus178272019126
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka176741717025
11Tokyo Verdy175932626024
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol175751723-622
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki175572525020
15Albirex Niigata175482226-419
16Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
20Consadole SapporoConsadole1725101636-2011
> J1 League Full Table


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