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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season. As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.99% (-0.408 -0.41) 28.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 44.48% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.89% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.367 -0.37)39.59% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.341 -0.34)76.28% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.223 0.22)27.92% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.285 0.29)63.53% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 26.99%
    Nagoya Grampus 44.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.48%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
11Kashiwa ReysolReysol165741721-422
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Albirex Niigata175482226-419
15Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811


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