Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
69.3% ( -0.87) | 19.89% ( 0.24) | 10.81% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 39.96% ( 1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% ( 0.66) | 51.97% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% ( 0.57) | 73.71% ( -0.56) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( -0.06) | 13.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.59% ( -0.12) | 41.4% ( 0.12) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.43% ( 1.66) | 53.57% ( -1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.99% ( 1.01) | 87.01% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.89% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |