Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw has a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 1-2 (3.77%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
68.85% ( -0.57) | 18.07% ( 0.56) | 13.08% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( -2.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.61% ( -2.74) | 38.39% ( 2.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.32% ( -2.96) | 60.68% ( 2.97) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.88% ( -0.86) | 10.12% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.69% ( -2.02) | 33.31% ( 2.02) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% ( -1.78) | 41.04% ( 1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% ( -1.63) | 77.59% ( 1.63) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.87) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.23) Other @ 4.68% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.07% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |