Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
58.14% ( 0.59) | 21.82% ( 0.14) | 20.03% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 55.62% ( -1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.43% ( -1.63) | 42.57% ( 1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( -1.65) | 64.97% ( 1.65) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( -0.36) | 14.36% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.77% ( -0.7) | 42.23% ( 0.7) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% ( -1.65) | 35.05% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.2% ( -1.77) | 71.8% ( 1.77) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |