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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Athletic Bilbao logo

Girona
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Girona's winning run will come to an end at some point, and Athletic have enough quality to triumph on Monday. It is so difficult to back the hosts to lose at the moment, but we are expecting the points to be shared here, as Athletic have also been one of the most impressive sides in the division this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
37.56% (-0.646 -0.65) 26.68% (0.251 0.25) 35.76% (0.395 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.785 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-1.012 -1.01)53.08% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.868 -0.87)74.66% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.843 -0.84)27.4% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-1.105 -1.11)62.88% (1.104 1.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)28.47% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.315 -0.32)64.23% (0.314 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Girona 37.55%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.76%
    Draw 26.67%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Girona vs Athletic Bilbao

Girona
67.1%
Draw
21.6%
Athletic Bilbao
11.4%
167
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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