Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
12.66% ( -0.09) | 18.57% ( -0.1) | 68.77% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% ( 0.22) | 41.84% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% ( 0.22) | 64.24% ( -0.21) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.07% ( -0.01) | 43.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.93% ( -0.01) | 80.06% ( 0.01) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.91% ( 0.11) | 11.09% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.51% ( 0.25) | 35.49% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 12.66% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.57% | 0-2 @ 11.78% 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 68.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |