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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Sevilla

Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Tchouameni (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamela (54')
Jordan (28'), Montiel (32'), Gudelj (66'), Papu (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Tuesday, October 18 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla have shown a lot of improvement under Sampaoli, but it is really difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, especially at Bernabeu. Los Blancos might have to be patient on Saturday, but we are expecting the champions to put another three points on the board in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
69.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.016999999999996 0.02)36.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.38% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.98%
    Sevilla 11.38%
    Draw 18.64%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 13.03%
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 11.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
90.0%
Draw
4.8%
Sevilla
5.2%
231
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Sevilla
Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')
Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.15pm
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid

Gudelj (76')
Bono (55' og.)
Kroos (44'), Modric (60'), Junior (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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