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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
57.72% (-0.36600000000001 -0.37) 24.32% (0.379 0.38) 17.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-1.395 -1.4)55.53% (1.393 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-1.154 -1.15)76.71% (1.153 1.15)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.664 -0.66)19.11% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-1.109 -1.11)50.73% (1.109 1.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.837 -0.84)44.92% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.679 -0.68)80.87% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 17.95%
    Draw 24.31%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 57.71%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
56.2%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Bilbao
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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