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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 1
Charlton

Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Although they are inching further away from danger, Exeter's home record remains relatively weak, so in-form Charlton can take three points and leapfrog their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
36.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 25.65% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)61.06% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.06% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.31%
    Charlton Athletic 38.04%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
18.8%
Draw
15.6%
Charlton Athletic
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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