League One

League One | 2nd Leg

May 8, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 0
Wycombe

(Wycombe Wanderers win 2-1 on aggregate)

Parrott (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scowen (30'), McCarthy (83'), Jacobson (89')

Wycombe Wanderers reach League One playoff final despite defeat to MK Dons

Wycombe Wanderers hold off an MK Dons onslaught to book their place in the League One playoff final, winning 2-1 on aggregate despite a 1-0 second-leg defeat.

May 8, 20:54

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between MK Dons and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85

Wycombe Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Wycombe (Wycombe to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Such is the length of Wycombe's unbeaten streak that it is difficult to back against the visitors qualifying for the final. While we feel that an MK Dons onslaught may lead to them winning on the night, Wycombe should still do enough to book their place at Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
40.84%	26.11%	33.05%

Both teams to score 53.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87%

51.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03%

72.97%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.25%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79%

29.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84%

65.15%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 40.83%

Wycombe Wanderers 33.05%

Draw 26.11%

MK Dons	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.05%