League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Saydee (13'), Bowman (66')
Dunkley (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adeboyejo (57')
Borthwick-Jackson (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions. However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Burton Albion
35.9% ( 0.17)	26.11% ( 0.05)	37.99% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.84% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

-0.2)

50.66% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

-0.17)

72.57% (

0.17)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

0.01)

27.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

0.01)

62.64% (

-0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.21)

26.03% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.28)

61.06% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 35.9%

Burton Albion 37.99%

Draw 26.1%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.9%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.99%