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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
0 - 0
Crewe


Morris (46'), Ehmer (82')
FT

Cooney (70'), Austerfield (74'), Turns (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Despite their relatively lofty positions in League Two's table, neither team have been in particularly good form of late, winning just two matches from their last 10 games combined. As such, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat on Friday, as they look to remain in contention to claim one of the four playoff spots on offer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.45% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.053999999999998 0.05)72.38% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.19% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.63%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.05%
    Draw 25.3%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crewe Alexandra
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
O'Riordan (30'), White (85')
Powell (35')
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Gillingham
2-1
Crewe
Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
Ainley (62')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
1-1
Gillingham
Agyei (19')
Kashket (12')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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