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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

Both teams are aiming to be promoted out of League Two this season, and that makes matches like this crucially important, but can also lead to cautious displays. Considering they are each coming into this one on the back of poor performances, it could be a case of taking a point that is better than gambling for all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.31% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)39.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)43.96% (0.064 0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.31%
    Walsall 25.17%
    Draw 22.51%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
100%
Draw
0.0%
Walsall
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Walsall
1-4
MK Dons
Oztumer (84')
Muirhead (11'), Reeves (32'), O'Keefe (71'), Barnes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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