EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)

Iheanacho (6'), Ndidi (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester City

Leicester are bound to rotate heavily on Wednesday, but they certainly have the strength in depth to comfortably get past Burton Albion, especially with the likes of Iheanacho and Daka fighting to earn their new manager's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Leicester City
21.2% ( 1.71)	20.61% ( 1.08)	58.18% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 61.89% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.8% (

-2.75)

35.2% (

2.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.78% (

-3.12)

57.21% (

3.12)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

-0.06)

29.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

-0.07)

65.75% (

0.06)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

-1.58)

11.97% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.62% (

-3.45)

37.37% (

3.45)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 21.2%

Leicester City 58.18%

Draw 20.61%

Burton Albion	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.01% Total : 21.2%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.45) 0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.28) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.31) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.25) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.18%