Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
66.74% ( 0.37) | 19.3% ( 0.02) | 13.96% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.9% ( -0.96) | 42.1% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% ( -0.97) | 64.51% ( 0.97) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.29% ( -0.18) | 11.71% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.18% ( -0.38) | 36.82% ( 0.38) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.89% ( -1.16) | 42.11% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.47% ( -1.02) | 78.53% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.65% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.3% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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