League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
39.58% ( 0.21)	26.03% ( -0.04)	34.39% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 53.91% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.52% (

0.12)

50.48% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.59% (

0.11)

72.4% (

-0.11)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.17)

25.08% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

0.24)

59.76% (

-0.24)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0.05)

28.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0.07)

63.7% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 39.58%

Exeter City 34.39%

Draw 26.02%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.58%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.39%