League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
0 - 1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With the Crewe Alexandra treatment room still full to the brim, there may be no immediate solution to the Railwaymen's attacking woes, especially on a ground where they have not triumphed since 2010. Low morale reserves in the Morecambe camp may mean that Tuesday's affair is not a classic, but we have faith in Brannan's men to find a way through and reignite their playoff bid in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
32.5% ( 0)	25.89% ( 0)	41.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67% (

-0)

50.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72% (

-0)

72.28% (

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

29.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

65.11% (

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

-0)

23.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

-0)

58.2% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 32.5%

Crewe Alexandra 41.6%

Draw 25.89%

Morecambe	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.5%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.6%