Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.25% ( -0.85) | 24.53% ( 0.14) | 30.22% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 57.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.25) | 45.29% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.24) | 67.63% ( 0.24) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% ( -0.47) | 20.12% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% ( -0.75) | 52.38% ( 0.76) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.36) | 28.17% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.46) | 63.86% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |