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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Bordeaux

Brest
2 - 4
Bordeaux

Mounie (16'), Belaili (34')
Chardonnet (30')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mangas (14'), Mara (32', 73'), Dilrosun (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Bordeaux

Brest may have little left to play for but, realistically, that is also the case for Bordeaux. They will likely give it their all either way but Les Girondins simply have not been good enough this season and we do not expect them to end the campaign on a high so are backing a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawBordeaux
59.42% (-2.541 -2.54) 20.33% (0.769 0.77) 20.25% (1.766 1.77)
Both teams to score 61.36% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.79% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)35.2% (0.899 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-1.014 -1.01)57.21% (1.007 1.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.943 -0.94)11.63% (0.936 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-2.06 -2.06)36.64% (2.053 2.05)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (1.183 1.18)30.57% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (1.381 1.38)66.79% (-1.39 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Brest 59.42%
    Bordeaux 20.25%
    Draw 20.33%
BrestDrawBordeaux
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.379 0.38)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.263 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Brest vs Bordeaux

Brest
72.1%
Draw
18.6%
Bordeaux
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Bordeaux
1-2
Brest
Rode Gregersen (43')
Pembele (75'), Mexer (80'), Niang (86')
Le Douaron (60', 66')
Chardonnet (50')
Feb 7, 2021 12pm
Brest
2-1
Bordeaux
Mounie (80'), Faivre (85')
Honorat (90+3')
Ui-jo (56')
Ben Arfa (6'), Koscielny (48'), Basic (51')
Dec 6, 2020 2pm
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Brest
1-1
Bordeaux
Benito (80' og.)
Baal (72'), Cardona (79')
Castelletto (68')
Ui-jo (10')
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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